Before the last trial of Paul who he wanted to appeal to. He had the privilege as being a Roman citizen
He chose Ceasar. He knew he had better chances if he had appealed for Kings friendly to him.
And during the travel there was a instance where the climate looked favorable for travelling. Paul warned the sailors against it. But they chose to travel and they met with huge losses
Rational thought may not be always what God wants us and God's ways are not easy and will raise doubts for you and people around you and the end of it may not be prosperity
But hang on

